Climate Fiction by CO₂ Numbers — A Claim-Entitlement Catalog

Filter Click any number to audit its claim entitlement.

1

Is it concentration, forcing, temperature, scenario, or policy?

First step: classify the number. Different categories have different physical anchors and different claim entitlements. Mixing them is the most common error.
2

What is measured, calculated, inferred, or modelled?

Direct measurement, derived calculation, statistical inference, and model output have different evidentiary weights. The card details flag which kind each number is.
3

What assumptions connect the number to the claim?

Most numbers in this catalog don't license their headline claim by themselves — there's a chain of assumptions in between. Audit the chain, not just the endpoints.
4

What feedbacks, confounders, or omissions matter?

Every number in the catalog is embedded in a system. Single-mechanism framings hide the feedbacks. The 13-Point Thermodynamic Audit names the omissions for the radiative case.
5

What is the number actually entitled to support?

The framework's signature move. Each card details what each number licenses — and what it doesn't. Most overclaims live at the gap between these two.